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  1. #12
    Karen37a
    Guest
    When someone says they "set aside $34.4 million as provisions for bad loans in the fourth quarter, down 38.2 percent from a year earlier."
    Which is cutting the reserve funding by an astronomical amount in an industry that is not 100% regulated you need an actuary or to quantify the actual number thru a quant( nothing to compare it to)...it sets off red or yellow flag to those who worked on wall st before and did the Quantitive analysis on the stocks.

    It is a huge number and the number can be adjusted to move the earnings number to positive or it could be a one time hit or charge-off or something else less sinister.

    Loss reserves are a contra asset that is needed for gross loans rise thru loan loss provisions and also reduced thru charge-offs.

    Some banks used overly simplistic measures to value banks loan losses thru the market cash...it was overly simplistic and bad analysis.

    The numbers in itself will not cause a correction or move people into a buy mode, with rising interest rates on the horizon and fewer originations (also holding more on the books ) tightened credit standards and more competition.
    It also is a hard number to quantify since people use different accounting methods and there is no clear water market or standard for most to compare it to.

    ....in my simple-minded telemarketer's opinion

    Seek out advice from a licensed Financial advisor this is not a buy sell hold recommendation
    Last edited by Karen37a; 02-13-2018 at 04:50 PM.

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