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10-26-2023, 08:44 AM #1
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- Oct 2022
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Fed rates
GDP is stronger than expected and inflation is still higher than the feds target. Seems like rates will still keep rising!
#henekconsultingElon Henek
HCI - Glen Cove, NY
Main: 1-516-676-1854
Cell: 1-516-236-4086
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10-26-2023, 05:11 PM #2
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- Oct 2023
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- 11
We're coming into an election year, war in the Middle East, (oil prices through the roof?), mortgage rates at 8%, CRE is in for a wrecking with arms, 10 yr yield crossed the physiological 5% mark the other day.
With higher yields, will hedge funds and private investors raise the cost of capital on direct funders, which increases rates to merchants?
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10-27-2023, 12:15 AM #3
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- Oct 2022
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- 291
I would peg the oil rates to the Saudis, Russians, and Iran. It seems they could care less about the macroeconomics. I would try to quantify the correlation of oil. Idk what mortgage rates you see at 8% when they are tied to the 10-yr US Treasury Note.
To address your last statement I would think that the rise of interest rates simply means the rise of cost of capital. SO, YES. MCAs, PEs, VCs, and any other instrument should respond accordingly.
However, my personal speculation is that we are NOT seeing a dovish fed for a long time.Elon Henek
HCI - Glen Cove, NY
Main: 1-516-676-1854
Cell: 1-516-236-4086
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